Post by NFA on Mar 19, 2024 14:13:22 GMT 8
1-9_Independent Engineers and Scientists on....pdf (833.05 KB)ISP 2024 and submissions on line
Go here,
aemo.com.au/consultations/current-and-closed-consultations/draft-2024-isp-consultation
pan down the page to Consultation submissions and find the submission lodged by James Taylor with assistance from other members of the Climate and Energy Realsts.
Independent Engineers, Scientists & Professionals
Introduction to the submission
This assessment finds the draft 2024 ISP for the future NEM fails to meet any of the national goals for reliability, low cost and zero emissions.
The ISP also does not meet consumer interests and is negligent regards detail, creates substantial risks to the environment, requires consumers to support the grid with solar PV and batteries, imposes intrusive controls on home generation, storage and usage of electricity, and poses significant risks to national security.
This submission finds that:
1. The ISP shows no evidence of the rigorous system engineering required for high reliability system development, taking into account worst-case conditions and reserve supply margins.
2. The draft 2024 ISP’s NEM dispatchable reserve margin falls to minus 20% below maximum demand by 2030, whereas historically, a dispatchable reserve margin of at least +20% was in place to ensure reliability; this shortfall amounts to 18 GW.
3. The ISP’s design severely lacks both energy storage and baseload back-up capacities, making it extremely unlikely to meet AEMO’s required 99.998% reliability (10 minutes outage per year).
4. The ISP design relies on interconnectors to shift intermittent solar and wind power but fails when solar radiation across the entire network is zero for up to 16 hours every day and NEM-wide wind droughts lasting 3 days or more are evident in AEMO’s own historical data. Interconnectors cannot shift non-existent power.
5. The ISP’s wind and solar capabilities are inadequate to promptly recharge depleted energy storages in preparation of recurring needs in the near future.
AND THERE IS MORE
Rafe Champion
www.flickerpower.com/index.php/search/categories/general/list-of-briefing-notes
Warning!
Wind watching can be time-consuming and habit-forming.
Watch responsibly.
aemo.com.au/consultations/current-and-closed-consultations/draft-2024-isp-consultation
pan down the page to Consultation submissions and find the submission lodged by James Taylor with assistance from other members of the Climate and Energy Realsts.
Independent Engineers, Scientists & Professionals
Introduction to the submission
This assessment finds the draft 2024 ISP for the future NEM fails to meet any of the national goals for reliability, low cost and zero emissions.
The ISP also does not meet consumer interests and is negligent regards detail, creates substantial risks to the environment, requires consumers to support the grid with solar PV and batteries, imposes intrusive controls on home generation, storage and usage of electricity, and poses significant risks to national security.
This submission finds that:
1. The ISP shows no evidence of the rigorous system engineering required for high reliability system development, taking into account worst-case conditions and reserve supply margins.
2. The draft 2024 ISP’s NEM dispatchable reserve margin falls to minus 20% below maximum demand by 2030, whereas historically, a dispatchable reserve margin of at least +20% was in place to ensure reliability; this shortfall amounts to 18 GW.
3. The ISP’s design severely lacks both energy storage and baseload back-up capacities, making it extremely unlikely to meet AEMO’s required 99.998% reliability (10 minutes outage per year).
4. The ISP design relies on interconnectors to shift intermittent solar and wind power but fails when solar radiation across the entire network is zero for up to 16 hours every day and NEM-wide wind droughts lasting 3 days or more are evident in AEMO’s own historical data. Interconnectors cannot shift non-existent power.
5. The ISP’s wind and solar capabilities are inadequate to promptly recharge depleted energy storages in preparation of recurring needs in the near future.
AND THERE IS MORE
Rafe Champion
www.flickerpower.com/index.php/search/categories/general/list-of-briefing-notes
Warning!
Wind watching can be time-consuming and habit-forming.
Watch responsibly.