Midget Thinkers and DinoSores

Yes the human origins story is not validly resolved. The whole field is awash in ideology and doctrinaire small mindedness. Good point. You are spot on there. Yes skin is seldom preserved in the fossil record, so we can't figure out the outer looks of the dinosaur from the fossils. And we can't do it from genetics either. Since the last I checked the oldest preserved DNA was from a horse in the Yukon, thought to be only one million years old. No your third point is not even a little bit true. Energy economics is the slowest moving, and most predictable side of economics. The only surprise that has happened was the gas revolution . There are many other technologies that could ease our problems. But that they are suppressed by the deep state is ALSO predictable. If you are hoping that someone will come up with a proto-type that will amplify the electricity coming into a neighbourhood, a house or a business ..... this has already happened many times, these technologies are suppressed, so much so that these acts of suppression are themselves totally predictable.


So no we do know what we need to do to have abundant energy. I did a paper in energy economics in 1985. The books that were referenced in the course were from the late 70's and so much was predictable then. And came to pass. The gas revolution being the only surprise in the entirety of that time in between. So what we know for sure is that we have to overcome deep state interference to get thorium nuclear. It cannot be started by the private sector. Thats out of the question, since the development requires many years to wind up with an efficient supply chain. And interest rates make this small sustained investment impossible over the 30 years (or so) that we need. Plus it requires political power to smooth things over with local government. For an individual to do this would require rampant bribery and corruption. Even if it worked we wouldn't want it because we would wind up with a Carlos Slim type situation.

Its not expensive to get this going if we spend a small amount every day for 30 years. I would say 5000 a day for a year ..... then when the small team finds its feet and knew exactly what to do next you could ramp it up to 20 000 a day for maybe ten years. You'd never go above 100 000 a day. You just need to find a system of the constant refashioning of the materials that go into thorium nuclear since the molten salts will be corrosive. So once you get that mature collection of sole traders, doing some of their work for you and most of their work for the private sector .... then you will have yourself an effective way of doing things that can be scaled up when the private sector is ready to scale it up.

It all goes back to the reason why Russia is pistol whipping the US in the current war. The US cannot seem to make up its mind what is a communist undertaking and what is meant for free enterprise. So they have these welfare queen allegedly private companies that supply them. They can come up with these fancy proto-types. But they can't be relied on to beat everyone else on cost-effective mass production. So the procurement system becomes a rent-seeking operation by high-tech welfare queens. The Russians pump out more ordnance in a month than the Americans can make in a year, and at very low cost.